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2025 Earnest Restaurant Rankings and Trends 

 

dan-gold-E6HjQaB7UEA-unsplashRestaurant sales decelerated from +5.3% YoY in 2023 to +1.8% YoY in 2024, according to Earnest credit card data. Rising costs, new wage laws, and a general focus on value all challenged restaurants in 2024.  But several brands were able to grow and take share during the year. In some cases, brands flexed pricing muscles to stay relevant. In other cases, they sought out new markets and locations. It was a pivotal year for restaurants in the US in general, and Earnest Analytics clients wanted to know:

  • What are the fastest growing major restaurants brands by category?
  • What drove restaurant growth in 2024?
  • Which restaurants are best positioned going into 2025?

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Investors and companies use Earnest for

 

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Earnings predictions

AI-powered and analyst-perfected revenue predictions using actual consumer spending and historic reported metrics to deliver a real time preview into earnings surprises.

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Competitor benchmarking

Spending data provides a clear picture of sales, transactions, retention, brand preference, and customer growth across thousands of public and private companies in real time.

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Market share sizing

Use spending data to track share of consumer dollars across traditional and DTC retailers. Cohort markets by income, age, channel, geography, source, and category.

Why clients choose Earnest

"Earnest understands the buy-side workflow and how to incorporate its insights seamlessly into our investment process." -Long/short fund manager
"To be able to benchmark our performance nationally and by individual market in near-real-time allows us to run our business more intelligently." -Alex Pasley, Chief of Staff & Head of Strategy, Corepower Yoga
"Earnest is a treasure trove of granular, individual-level transactional data…Knowing that we have this data for a very large universe of companies over multiple years is a game changer." -Dan McCarthy, Co-Founder of Theta

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Earnest Dash

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Earnest Dash online platform surfaces real-time earnings predictions, sales growth, customer retention, market share, and macroeconomic insights.

Data Feed

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Access aggregated or row level data. Receive both daily updated raw data and transformed data tables including merchant and/or product attributions—all with unlimited flexibility to run customer analyses.